Government described crime data ‘in misleading way’ – statistics watchdog — Analysis

Boris Johnson and Priti Patel claimed to chop crime by 14%, however the statistics workplace says it really rose

UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson claimed in Parliament final week that his Conservative authorities has “been slicing crime by 14%,” whereas Dwelling Secretary Priti Patel mentioned that “crime continues to fall below this authorities.” Nonetheless, the federal government has now been accused of presenting the crime knowledge in a “deceptive manner” by the nation’s official statics physique. 

Johnson’s declaration within the Home of Commons was referred to as out by Liberal Democrat Dwelling Affairs spokesman Alistair Carmichael, who raised the problem with the UK Statistics Authority. In a letter responding to Carmichael on Thursday, authority boss Sir David Norgrove mentioned that Johnson uncared for to say that the figures he quoted (which measured crime through the yr ending September 2021 towards the yr ending September 2020) excluded fraud and pc crimes.

Taking these crimes into consideration, the general crime charge in England and Wales really rose by 14% throughout this era.

A number of days earlier, a Dwelling Workplace press launch had mentioned that “crime continues to fall below this Authorities,” quoting Patel as saying the Johnson administration’s strategy “is working.” The press launch described a fall in crime of 17% between the yr ending June 2019 and the yr ending September 2021. Nonetheless, the Dwelling Workplace’s crime experiences all the time exclude fraud and pc crime, and this exclusion was famous at some factors within the press launch and omitted in others.

Rising ranges of fraud and pc crime, which spiked through the Covid-19 pandemic, “greater than offset the reductions seen for different sorts of crime,” Carmichael’s letter said. 

“Workplace for Nationwide Statistics (ONS) measures for crime should be used precisely, and never misrepresented,” the letter learn. “On this case, the Dwelling Workplace information launch introduced the most recent figures in a deceptive manner.”

Not all non-fraud crimes have fallen within the UK. Whereas knife and firearms offenses are down by 10% and 9%, respectively, and thefts have plummeted by 18%, the yr ending September 2021 noticed probably the most rapes ever recorded in a single yr. Sexual offenses have been up 20%, though the ONS cautioned that this enhance might have been pushed by a lot of high-profile instances encouraging “victims’ willingness to report incidents.”

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