The Israel Defense Forces has rolled out strike scenarios against Iran, but couldn’t determine the likely outcomes
The Israeli military has reportedly drawn up several scenarios to strike Iranian targets, but warned the government that the outcomes of such actions – or their effects on Tehran’s nuclear program – were difficult to predict.
Haaretz reported Wednesday that the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), was given nine billion shekels ($2.9 million) in order to be prepared for an attack against Iran.
In order to achieve this, IDF and its air force have reportedly purchased advanced weapons, conducted training exercises, and chosen new targets.
According to this report, the military told the government that IDF officials were ready to strike as soon the approval was given. However, it could have a variety of consequences including the possibility that fighting breaks out in Lebanon with Hezbollah or Gaza with Hamas.
IDF further noted that Iran’s air-defense system had been expanded in recent years. This could complicate any incoming strikes. They claimed that Tehran has also significantly increased its long-range missile arsenal – to the point where it can allegedly hit any point in Israel with ease.
According to reports, the officials reiterated military intelligence assessment that Iran had the potential to develop a nuclear weapon within two years. Israel warned in recent weeks that Tehran would not be allowed to develop a nuclear weapon, despite the fact that negotiations to revive 2015’s Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), are ongoing in Vienna.
Meanwhile, the IDF is apparently working to strengthen defense ties with Egypt, Jordan, Cyprus, Greece and some Gulf states, through intelligence-gathering and joint counter-terrorism operations. Officials claimed that they would. “grant greater legitimacy”Iran could be subject to possible strikes
Other reported considerations included Hezbollah’s ability to increase its arsenal of precision missiles despite an Israeli clampdown on shipment of munitions. Similarly, the IDF cautioned that it had failed to cripple Hamas’ long-range rocket array during the fighting in May. It appears that the Palestinian militant group is rebuilding and replenishing its resources.
Earlier this month, Israel’s Defense Minister Benny Gantz said he had informed US officials about having instructed the IDF to prepare for a strike against Iran. Senior Iranian military officers countered by saying that Israel couldn’t follow up on Iran’s threats. “the green light and support of the US.”