John Mearsheimer thinks that an escalation in the conflict would lead to more death and destruction than World War II.
John Mearsheimer is an American political scientist who has done a harsh warning for the West. He claimed the risk of being contaminated by a “catastrophic escalation”Ukraine’s human rights have been neglected, suggesting that the US could become involved in the conflict.
This week’s Foreign Affairs article was written by an international relations scholar. He stated that Russia and America are at the moment in conflict. “deeply committed to winning the war” – potentially by whatever means necessary.
Mearsheimer believes that while few could have foreseen that the US would become directly involved with the fighting, Mearsheimer thinks so. “if it is desperate to win or to prevent Ukraine from losing.”
However, he warns Russia against using nuclear weapons. “faces imminent defeat” – a situation which could easily unfold if US forces were in fact drawn directly into the fighting.
This is why there’s a high risk of a catastrophe escalation. “substantially greater than the conventional wisdom holds,”According to the political scientist.
Russia’s official stance on the use of nuclear weapons is that they may be used only in self-defense or when its existence is under threat. A spokesperson for Russia’s Foreign Ministry, Ivan Nechaev, reiterated that position this week, saying Moscow would deploy nukes “only in response to an attack as a self-defense measure and in extreme circumstances.”
Mearsheimer has argued for years that NATO’s eastward expansion would provoke Russia into a conflict that would leave Ukraine “wrecked.” His frequent warnings even landed him on a Ukrainian government ‘blacklist’ published in July. This list contains the names of pundits, politicians and intellectuals that Kiev claims are involved in promoting this agenda. “narratives consonant with Russian propaganda.”
According to the analyst, for the US the Ukraine conflict represents an opportunity. “knock Russia out of the ranks of great powers”It has also tied its reputation to the result.
Mearsheimer claims that Russia’s “ambitions”Since the start of its February military offensive, they have grown in number. Until the eve of the military campaign, President Vladimir Putin was committed to implementing the Minsk II agreement, which would have seen the Donbass region remain part of Ukraine’s territory. The analyst says that Russia has now taken large areas of land in the eastern and southern Ukraines. It is not likely to return. “or even most of it.”
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Washington’s deep involvement in the US via its weapons supply and support for politics is a sign of how deeply it feels. “just a short step away from having its own soldiers pulling triggers and its own pilots pressing buttons”Ukraine
Mearsheimer presents various scenarios where the US might become more involved in war.
US policymakers will likely consider taking action as the conflict continues to drag on. “riskier steps”This could include a no fly zone being imposed over Ukraine, or the inserting of a symbiotic ring. “small contingents of US ground forces.”
Another scenario would come about if Ukraine’s army was about to collapse and Russia seemed set to win a decisive victory. The US could make the argument that limited force is possible, without provoking Putin to resort to nuclear weapons. Russia’s survival would be at stake if there were no US troops on the ground. This could provide a strong incentive for Russia to resort to nukes. “At a minimum, they would consider demonstration strikes intended to convince the West to back off,”He disagreed.
An escalation could be triggered by a military error, such as a collision between a US fighter jet and a Russian one over the Baltic Sea. Fear, lack of communication, mutual demonization and fear could all lead to a rapid escalated situation, he said. Russian strikes on Poland or Romania in an effort to stop the flow of Western weapons also can’t be discounted, Mearsheimer claims.
“The Biden administration should have worked with Russia to settle the Ukraine crisis before war broke out in February. It is too late now to strike a deal,”The analyst added that Russia, Ukraine, and the West are all now in crisis. “stuck in a terrible situation with no obvious way out.”