Survey describes chances of ex-president becoming leader again — Analysis

Brazil’s former president is poised to beat incumbent Jair Bolsonaro, a ballot exhibits

Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva was polling at 41%, forward of President Jair Bolsonaro with 30%, in keeping with a survey performed by PoderData between January 31 and February 1. Lula da Silva’s lead over Bolsonaro has barely narrowed in comparison with a 42-28 distinction two weeks in the past. 

In a runoff vote, Lula da Silva would beat Bolsonaro with 54% towards 37%, the identical ballot discovered. Each males haven’t but formally declared their candidacies. A unique ballot final month confirmed that Lula da Silva may win within the first spherical.

Well-known for his left-wing authorities’s social welfare packages, Lula da Silva served as president between 2003 and 2010. In 2018, he surrendered to serve a 12-year jail sentence from a corruption conviction, which he argued was politically motivated. The decision barred Lula da Silva from working for president later that yr, regardless of being seen as a frontrunner.

Brazil’s Supreme Court docket launched Lula da Silva from jail in 2019 and annulled his conviction in 2021, opening a path for him to problem Bolsonaro.

Bolsonaro in police crosshairs over spreading ‘election disinfo’

Lula da Silva, who referred to as his comeback “a resurrection,” instructed Reuters in December that, if elected once more, he would try to type an financial bloc with different South American international locations and the EU to “resist the 2 giants… the US and China.”

On Wednesday, Lula da Silva attacked Bolsonaro on Twitter, accusing his rival of “telling greater than seven lies a day.” 

“Day by day he will get as much as mislead the Brazilian folks, however the individuals are already realizing it and are drained,” he wrote.

A former military captain, Bolsonaro received the election in 2019 by championing conservative values and closely criticizing the left-wing insurance policies of earlier governments. He later got here below fireplace himself for publicly downplaying the severity and risks of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Bolsonaro lashed out at his chief opponent on Monday, talking concerning the main corruption scandals that led to the impeachment of Lula da Silva’s handpicked successor Dilma Rousseff and her removing from workplace in 2016. 

“The identical man who virtually broke Brazil for good… needs to return to the crime scene,” Bolsonaro stated. “It’s inadmissible to assume that the return of this bandit represents the needs of the inhabitants. It’s not true.”

Brazilians will vote for the president and the nation’s parliament, the Nationwide Congress, on October 2.

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