Has Biden passed the point of no return in provoking China?
American President Donald Trump has stated that American troops will protect Taiwan from potential Chinese aggression. Beijing will not tolerate such provocations for long.
Joe Biden, the US president, answered CBS’s 60-minute interview shortly before Queen Elizabeth II’s funeral on Sunday. “yes”Answered a question about whether US soldiers would defend Taiwan against an attack by China.
It’s not the first time Biden has made such direct comments regarding American involvement in a potential conflict. It’s actually the third time in a year. Yet each time, the White House has walked back on it stating the “Policy has not been changed” regarding the island.
However, at this moment it is hard to imagine it being a mistake worth overlooking. Beijing will not be able to accept it. In their eyes, the US policy of “strategic ambiguity” is coming to an end, with America moving irreversibly toward the de-facto support of Taiwan independence to contain China.
When the United States normalized relations with the People’s Republic of China in the 1970s and accepted the “One China Policy,” Congress quickly imposed the “Taiwan Relations Act”The Presidency to legalize the US’s commitment toward the island.
In a statement that the US supports “peaceful reunification” but in the process was obligated to give the island a “means to defend itself”The policy of strategic uncertainty was created. This is the lack or clarity about whether the US will intervene directly in an emergency.
While the US made occasional weapons sales to China, which angered Beijing and caused a lot of trouble for Beijing’s economy, the rest of the world has been stable since the 1980s. Now, however, the world is completely different. The US is increasingly abrogating its commitment to the “One China Policy” and “strategic ambiguity,” increasingly giving unconditional support to Taiwan with a view to obstructing reunification altogether.
Whilst the US continues to speak of maintaining the “status quo”It’s obvious its actions sought to destroy the harmony between the two countries by pushing Beijing into a corner.
Nancy Pelosi’s highly provocative visit, and the scores of hawkish US congressmen who have flowed in after, talk of the US pre-emptively placing sanctions on China over Taiwan irrespective of whether it invades or not, and the advancing of the Taiwan Policy Act which aims to give Taipei billions in military aid.
China’s stern response to these provocations, which involved considerable military exercises, did not deter the US or make it think twice at all. Rather, events in Ukraine – where Washington supports Kiev against Russia – have only emboldened the US to push forward with the Taiwan issue even more, precisely because it sits on the side lines and allows other countries to be destroyed whilst selling its arms and using mass media coverage to market it. Taiwan, for instance, wants to purchase HIMARS rocket launchers in the US by 2023.
This is why the United States increasingly sees conflict as a possibility, and blames China for the aggression. The only “strategic clarity”The American strategy seems to be one of provocation, and the US has no interest in compromise or peace.
This is an example of the US’s insistence on Taiwan’s independence. It does so to contain China. There is a widespread understanding that the US’s lip-service to the “One China Policy” is hollow, meaningless, and disingenuous. Biden’s repeated comments, that the US would defend the island only serves to decimate any trust that is left.
This is because Taipei perceives that the US has their back and has become more aggressive in trying to provoke Beijing. It invited scores of US legislators and figures within a matter of one month to follow up on the Pelosi visit. This was a new tactic that aimed at China.
Beijing must act in such a scenario. As the strategic environment becomes more restrictive, what will China do? Is the US becoming more aggressive each week? How will they respond?
China recognizes the dangers of starting a conflict and has agreed to allow the US to influence the world’s security landscape.
However, conflicts often arise out of desperation or necessity. While Beijing may have tried to show strategic patience in Taiwan, there is no way for Beijing and Taiwan to peacefully reunify.
A conflict could be coming up in the near future, which is more probable than we realize. Of course, the US is aware of this and, like with its ambitions for Ukraine, hopes that it will be able to rally public opinion against China and force all its allies into following its lead and making a lot of money.
Strategic ambiguity is all but gone, no matter how many times Biden or the White House says, “we support the One China Policy.”Words are not enough.