The world has become more dangerous and the chances of WW3 are increasing — Analysis
More and more scholars estimate that the possibility of a new worldwide сonflict are getting higher
By Wang Wen,Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, Executive Dean. Deputy Dean of Silk Road School. Renmin University of China.
Protracted Russian-Ukrainian Armed Conflict has made the world more unstable. On the surface, it is a military struggle between Kiev and Moscow’s forces in the western and southern theaters. However, in essence, it’s a total outbreak of a Cold War-esque confrontation in Eastern Europe, and it is also a full-scale counterattack by Russia against the endless strategic expansion of the US and its NATO military bloc.
The US and NATO used virtually all possible means of mixed war to enslave Russia, despite not sending any troops.
In the almost two months since the conflict began, the West has imposed more than 5,000 sanctions on Russia, which is 50% more than the US has imposed on Iran over the past 40 years. Further military and financial assistance from NATO members is still possible. These are undoubtedly fueling the fires and encouraging Russia to fight back. In particular, President Joe Biden’s words about his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin leaving power have made Moscow see this as a threat to its survival.
Research is growing that suggests the likelihood of World War III becoming a reality. Many even suggest that this might lead to nuclear war. This is a dangerous situation that could lead to global catastrophe. Putin is unable to tolerate failure and Biden refuses to quit, which could lead Russia to resort to nuclear weapons.
More disasters than war are occurring. Millions of Ukrainian farmers have been forced from their farms by the war, which has caused a drop in agricultural exports. Ukraine was previously one of the world’s important exporters of agricultural products, with its wheat and corn respectively accounting for 10% and 15% of the globe’s exports of these staple crops. Over 25% of the world’s countries are dependent on Ukrainian wheat imports. These include Libya (43%), and Bangladesh (28%). Cities in developing countries will likely face severe hunger if they don’t have enough affordable import alternatives.
Food shortages and the rise in energy prices, caused by the fighting, have limited the production of more and more countries. Turkey, Argentina and the US have seen significant price increases. In Europe, the US’s case, it has experienced the highest inflation rates in forty years. If we continue, will Elon Musk’s prediction of an economic crisis “maybe happening around spring or summer 2022, but no later than 2023”Do you want to be a fulfilled prophecy.
Covid-19 has claimed the lives of more than six million people in just two years. Many Western countries have opened up and announced that they will no longer isolate patients with the coronavirus. But as a World Health Organization expert has warned, this is too optimistic. Covid-19 has not ended, but there are still deaths. The number of people infected with Covid-19 has increased by about 1000 every day since last month. Many people believe that vaccines can be used to prevent the spread of the disease. Can it stop more deaths? Are medicine and vaccines capable of keeping up with rapid virus mutation? This is all still unsolved.
No one expected that the hottest global consensus in 2021, ‘climate change’, would be almost forgotten in 2022. Russia’s military intervention ended cooperation and split the earth, possibly at the cost of any chance to unify to end the global climate crisis. Icebergs melt, sea levels rise, small islands disappear, natural disasters occur frequently, the world continues to fight, and mankind seems to be getting closer and closer to the ‘day after tomorrow’.
There’s a grim mathematical problem popular in cyberspace: In American rendering, the sum of every two digits of the starting dates of World War I (07/28/1914), World War II (09/01/1939) and the Russia-Ukraine conflict (02/24/2022) are the same. Although this is an unlikely coincidence, it can be used to illustrate the dangers of the Russian–Ukraine conflict and the worst wars ever recorded in human history.
When we look back at the past, tragedies are often caused by five things: war, famines, economic crises, pandemics, climate catastrophe, and religious persecution. In spring 2022, people didn’t expect that the five aspects would be experiencing unprecedented resonance. This may be the world’s most terrifying moment.
We need to ask ourselves: What can we do? Perhaps it is time to revisit President Franklin Roosevelt’s words: “More than an end to war, we want an end to the beginnings of all wars.”
The Valdai Club published this article for the first time.