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Omicron triggering surge in Covid reinfections — Analysis

Knowledge from the UK’s Workplace of Nationwide Statistics, nevertheless, means that not all these contaminated are experiencing Covid-19 signs

The Omicron variant seems to have pushed a spike in Covid-19 reinfections within the UK, with extra folks affected by the illness for a second time over the previous six weeks than the earlier 18 months taken collectively, in accordance with newly launched authorities knowledge.

In its newest Covid-19 an infection survey launched on Wednesday, the Workplace for Nationwide Statistics (ONS) has recorded 764 reinfections in practically 28,700 members since December 20, 2021. That is near the purpose the place Omicron is assumed to have overtaken the Alpha and Delta variants to turn out to be the dominant pressure of the virus in circulation throughout the nation.

The survey famous that earlier than Might 17, 2021, infections had been prone to be associated to the Alpha or different variants, whereas the interval between Might 17 to December 19 noticed “substantial numbers of infections” linked to the Delta variant. Nevertheless, from December 20 onwards, there was a surge in infections “suitable with the Omicron variant.”

Previous to Omicron’s emergence, the bi-weekly surveys had screened for simply 586 reinfections from amongst roughly 25,000 at-risk people. The newest figures, which cowl the interval from July 2020 until January 23, 2022, estimate that the speed of reinfections is now 180 instances per 100,000 folks.

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“Reinfections have elevated sharply amongst our survey members, notably throughout the Omicron dominant interval,” Sarah Crofts, the survey’s analytical outputs head, instructed the Monetary Occasions. She added that “extra members [are] experiencing reinfections throughout this era than we noticed throughout all earlier variants mixed.”

Nevertheless, Crofts additionally famous that “not all [who were reinfected] skilled signs and it’s attention-grabbing to see that there have been extra folks reporting signs from reinfections throughout the Delta interval.”

The figures got here because the UK started formally recording potential reinfection episodes on its Covid-19 dashboard this week – with the Well being Safety Company noting that instances that includes a second Covid bout had shot up from about averaging round 1.4% of instances as much as November 16 to creating up about one in 10 instances now.

Final month, the ONS had estimated that the chance of reinfection from Omicron is 16 instances higher than that from the Delta variant.

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