FBI raid spurs shift in Trump’s voter support — Analysis

The controversial search and seizure of documents at the former president’s Florida home has boosted his polling numbers

A new poll suggests that the FBI has boosted former US President Donald Trump’s chances if he enters the 2024 presidential race. Since the raid on classified documents that were allegedly hidden at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago, Florida home, his voter support has risen sharply.

Asked whether they would rather see Trump or “someone else” win the GOP presidential nomination, 54% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents prefer the ex-president, according to a Yahoo/YouGov poll released this week. This is compared to the 34% that want to see another candidate and the 12% who are not yet decided.

This margin of 54-34 is 11 points higher than the previous 47-38 advantage Trump had earlier in the month, prior to the FBI raid. The Republicans also chose Ron DeSantis over Trump when they were asked if Trump was their choice for Florida Governor. It was 49-31. Prior to the raid, his advantage over DeSantis had been 44-34.

Trump announced the raid by revealing that his Palm Beach residence had been invaded on August 8. “occupied”Was “under siege.” Critics of the search, including DeSantis and Republican lawmakers, accused President Joe Biden’s administration of weaponizing federal law enforcement against political enemies and turning the US into a “banana republic.”

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However, 56% of Americans believe Trump shouldn’t be allowed to serve as president again if he’s found guilty of “mishandling highly classified documents,”According to the poll. Only 26% support him returning to the Oval Office following such an offense.

In contrast to Trump’s rising support among Republicans, Biden still isn’t favored as a 2024 candidate by voters in his own party. Only 32% want Trump to be re-elected president, and 49% favor him. “someone else.”Only 33% of those who voted in Biden’s 2020 election want him to be the Democrat nominee for 2024, even among those who voted in his favor.

Among relatively non-partisan Americans – those who don’t watch Fox News, CNN, or MSNBC – “someone else”By a margin of 63-15, Trump is preferable to Biden. Independent voters favor Trump 39 to 32 in a matchup between Trump & Biden.

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Inflation is the number one political concern heading into 2022’s midterm congressional elections. It has more than doubled the national No. 2 issue, democracy. According to the poll, 38-31 percent of respondents think Republicans handle the crisis more effectively than Democrats. Only 23% Americans think the country is secure. “generally headed in the right direction,”The other 65% see it as “being” “on the wrong track.”



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